In search of a victory narrative

 #Iran #Israel

RantWoman is probably going to skip a daily posting from What's going on with Shipping and related is the strait open / is it closed back and forth.

It is all Silly. DANGEROUS but silly. President #StableGenius is demonstrating more and more signs of dementia, lack of orientation to time and space, inability to stay anywhere near the topic at hand. He apparently had to be kicked out of the situation room during the Easter weekend pilot rescue. General Cain refused an order just to launch nuclear weapons. Even comparison with parodies dating from 2020 show how stunningly he has deteriorated. 

Instead, comments on the situation from other angles.

Iran DESTROYS 12 F-35s With 300 Sayyad-4, Israel Air Force CRIPPLED, U.S SILENT

Oops: Iran missiles take out supposedly stealth US built Israeli aircraft.

TONS of military jargon.

Oh rats: Thanks to Iran air defense Israel can't just mindlessly bomb "engagement zones."

ISRAEL IS COMPLETELY & UTTERLY COOKED | The Kyle Kulinski Show

poll report about view of israel in the US

contrast with NPR report about the very high percentage of people in Israel who strongly approve of Israel's current military campaigns

Navy opens fire: futures market crashes

#Iran 

US forces disable (sanctioned) vessel. Retaliation for Friday attacks by Iran.

RantWoman has no opinion about ramifications, but appreciates the details.

Engine disabled in daylight

The US Just Took Over an Iranian Ship

Mention of ships hit yesterday by Iran

Plenty of lies about Iran capabilities.

Tit for tat retaliation hitting civilian infrastructure.

US Marines ship attack signals America's downfall

two versions of events from Iran sources

UAE wants to trade oil in Yuan 

US Marines just made dangerous move on Iran

Marines board at night

Ships Back Under Fire in the Strait of Hormuz

Trump’s Bleating Iran Strategy Is Spiraling Out of Control

Has President #StableGenius bleated absurd threat into another hitch in negotiations?

UAE TURNS on US, Wants Bases Out And BEGS for Bailout

UAE wants US weapons and bases out, as well as financial support or else if they run out of dollars they will trade oil in yuan.

(RantWoman had predicted durimg Trump 1.0 that oil might not be traded in dollars by the end of that administration. RantWoman's timeline was just off.)

And ...

Futures crash as world abandons America

Trump’s LATEST THREAT Just Put Us All in GRAVE DANGER! Malcolm Nance

Your friendly local police union is just here to protect...

 We interrupt RantWoman's daily diet of #Iran #Russia #Ukraine postings for something a little more local.

Enjoy?

Adventures of RantWoman: SPOG says city's ICE policies put public at risk: Oh PLEASE

Adventures of RantWoman: AHEM. Blowing whistles is protected first amendment activity...and...

Escalation and why it won't work; what's at stake

#Iran #StraitOfHormuz 

RantWoman is not going to attempt to summarize this one. Basic point: future is NOT as rosy as others are trying to sell it and LOTS of risks!

Emphasis on "resource sovreignty"

END THIS NOW

CUT DEFENSE SPENDING

Education system underpowered

BREAKING: ASG-1 BREACHES Hormuz Command — Blockade COLLAPSES! | Scott Ritter

Discussion of full Iranian defensive infrastructure.

Discussion of full technical interaction of electronic warfare in Amphibious strike group with 2200 marines on the strike group ready to act on order.

BIG gap between US amphibious strike group under full electronic cover and unarmed oil tanker whose company has to make risk calculation.

Iran did not attack. Restraint,

Iran redlines:

--Acknowledgment that Strait is strategic asset for Iran

--war reparations

--unfreezing sanctioned funds

BOTH sides facing choices that will be domestically unpopular.

Several other topical videos on this channel

The President is Bonkers, chapter n+1

RantWoman wants desperately to believe that no one is beyond the mercy of God.

President #StableGenius keeps testing that hope, beefing with the Pope, among other apparently ludicrous babblings.

RantWoman would be thrilled, THRILLED if #GrandpaSleepyhead were simply to get tired of the endless hassles, resign and settle into genteel retirement full of golf and napping. RantWoman would consider that such an act of mercy, Divine or otherwise that RantWoman might be able to bypass the temptation on everyone's lips to try to charge him again and again for many crimes and misdemeanors. But if the dude is not competent to be President, he also is not competent to stand trial.

RantWoman thinks she has said this before, but is stuck on the idea. Set him up with a constant AI feed of over-the-top adulation. Don't let him travel anywhere except between his own properties. As long as his hands are off the nuclear codes and the world does not have to fret about his decrepitating body and deteriorating mental capacity, he can have all the sycophants he wants assuring him he is the greatest ever, without too many specifics about greatest at what.

Instead, RantWoman's media streams keep bringing more evidence that the President is just bonkers. Here a few examples. 

Trump CRASHES OUT as his Health COLLAPSES

Trump's War Ending Con CRUMBLES As Panic Grows Over China Blockade Escalation

DC INSIDER: Trump is NOT going to make it

🚨TOP Historian gives URGENT WARNING on Trump’s CONDITION!!!

Is #DementiaDon the AntiChrist?

Does GenZ understand the phrase "jump the shark?"

Performative criticism but no action

Today in Naval Blockade: the story is the system that makes Iran confident enough to keep testing limits

#Iran #StraitOf Hormuz

"Expect this blockade to last a long time."

Can the U.S. Load All the Empty Super Tankers | Why Is an American Carrier Beating Around the BUSH?

short answer: US cannot pump fast enough to fill all the empty tankers.

Gas prices likely will stay high.

SPR = Strategic Petroleum Reserve ?

Look up "Commander Salamander"

Ah, but from Scott Ritter

15 Warships, Zero Results: How One Chinese Tanker Broke America's Blockade in 12 Hours| Scott Ritter

Saudi Arabia is frantic about the Blockade

Malawi has no official ship registry is the ship in question is legally stateless. The ship in question was spoofing location for days.

Able to load Iranian product at an Omani Port

Part of the global shadow fleet

China and Iran have been working on the technologies and plans of evasion for decades.

Gap between what CentCom says and what the US navy can enforce

The ship did turn back but the gap is plain to see. 

RantWoman's interpretation: Ha. Ha. US is being told the strait is blockaded but there are big legal holes. Both shipping lanes in the Strait of Hormuz are Iranian territorial waters. US ships going there would be an act of war. Multiple paths to escalation, but de-escalation? Who blinks first? Don't bet on Iran / China

And from Iran:

"No port in the Gulf is safe unless all ports are safe"

Iran Threatened Every Gulf Port; America Has Not Responded. China Is the Reason Iran Can – Jiang

Iran is not talking to the US. It's talking to every gulf state with some kind of oil activity on the Gulf.

Saudi Arabia pressing the US to end the blockade and return to negotiations.

You do not need big boats to blow up an aircraft carrier. 

Iran is also threatening the Red Sea. Houthis have not stood by so far.

US is managing 5 things at once: US silence is strategic but has risks. Iran trying to split the US from regional partners.

Sales to China greater than before war.

China used shadow tankers and second tier banks not in the SWIFT network. Iran is getting paid in yuan, not dollars. So Iran has economic oxygen to sustain itself.

China preparing to send shoulder-launched weapons to Iran.

The confidence ladder  

Iran threatened every port because confident of Chinese moves.

US treating China and Russia as spectators. 

RantWoman has not checked the sources cited as part of this interpretation.

And for different scenarios, different interpretations

Chinese Tankers Crossed the Hormuz... Then US Navy' Response Was INSTANT

Who is alone? Who has how much time? 

Belle on Automatic Draft Registration and the Pope in politics

One of RantWoman's favorite YouTube voices, esteemed for packing a lot of punch into few words and for taking on lots of questions politely and with solid information. 

The video is pithy. Catch all the points.

Let's talk about the Pope staying out of politics, Vance, and the Book of Donald....

"The Book of Donald"